i went through all the states and put them on their correct height when ranked cases per million and i dont see a significant difference, the republican states' center mass looks to be a little higher than the democrats' nut democrats also stretch a lot higher with a few states.
(democrat cities seem to average about 8000 cases per million, whereas republican cities seem to average about maybe 8200 cases per million. not calculated, just looking at this chart i made so it could really go either way)
then i looked at the amount of new cases and it looks to me like theres no clear correlation with the state leadership and a spike in new cases as of recent.
(meaning when going with your assumption of there being a rise in new cases as of recent, i seemed to be wrong about 50% of the time.)
Looks like there are other factors effecting the amount of people who catch the rona than just elected state officials, hmm, could going out in masses spread a the virus? i mean the amount of new cases starts growing ~3 weeks after the death of george floyd.
i realise 3 weeks is a lot of time for the rise of cases to happen, but i imagine it would take some time for the virus to start to spread in the crowds if the amount of infected/sick people attending isnt high in the beginning, which i imagine it isnt given there is a global pandemic going on, you know, you wouldnt go rioting with a fever.
that being said, im not necessarily saying this is the definite cause of the recent spike in cases, but it isnt strictly tied to whos running your state.
i think it would be interesting to see a comparison between democrat and republican ran cities instead of states, but im far too lazy to go through all of them as there are just so many. plus as an outsider i wouldnt know most cities to check so¯\_(ツ)_/¯
dude really said look at the stats lol
cant upload images for some reason so no charts for you

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